Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 14.298810 16.304637 18.450312 20.911694 23.652364 26.605372 30.022926
2024-10-27 10.911943 13.516916 16.501089 20.154956 24.489330 29.447153 35.526419
2024-11-03 9.290326 12.397907 16.181419 21.085168 27.226261 34.612831 44.114148
2024-11-10 8.437825 12.045996 16.685493 23.007915 31.306811 41.726785 55.681437
2024-11-17 7.432155 11.322383 16.591864 24.119079 34.438789 47.914154 66.629243
2024-11-24 6.278471 10.202704 15.797694 24.163438 36.120165 52.322136 75.601949
2024-12-01 5.178982 8.975674 14.669731 23.570744 36.811341 55.394778 82.962593
2024-12-08 4.416155 8.132298 13.974971 23.489940 38.167584 59.429178 91.879460
2024-12-15 3.880903 7.563719 13.612852 23.839993 40.143321 64.437482 102.464032
2024-12-22 3.335806 6.885686 12.978058 23.668003 41.267368 68.223722 111.456714
2024-12-29 3.102936 6.725558 13.177106 24.853311 44.594936 75.520829 126.111459
2025-01-05 2.760522 6.302619 12.862033 25.123917 46.435169 80.601114 137.632831
2025-01-12 2.310762 5.605147 11.987244 24.366662 46.563113 83.082970 145.431023
2025-01-19 1.911697 4.936576 11.073168 23.429178 46.284772 84.868173 152.214041
2025-01-26 1.776202 4.815256 11.203508 24.437354 49.499265 92.629715 169.163643
2025-02-02 1.760847 4.965303 11.896248 26.583515 54.920312 104.430908 193.427552
2025-02-09 1.658881 4.892347 12.115510 27.816429 58.743938 113.696214 213.892045
2025-02-16 1.469750 4.569004 11.757655 27.849307 60.308910 119.096922 228.031360
2025-02-23 1.254590 4.133416 11.090836 27.167603 60.434584 121.924891 237.833092
2025-03-02 1.106889 3.846941 10.721507 27.068612 61.675315 126.810601 251.460969
2025-03-09 1.006363 3.671549 10.587511 27.459157 63.905455 133.605993 268.774182
2025-03-16 0.886070 3.410927 10.209278 27.261318 64.908944 138.148913 282.206874
2025-03-23 0.853110 3.413409 10.491429 28.597939 69.191711 149.114924 307.879562